THE GREATEST DEPRESSION IN US
& UK HISTORY, MUCH WORSE THAN
THE GREAT DEPRESSION OF THE 1930s IS NOW JUST A FEW YEARS AWAY.
DON'T SAY YOU HAVEN'T BEEN WARNED!
Click
the picture at the right to read the five page lead
article,
based on the The Great Bust Ahead, featured in the
prestigious PROFESSIONAL
INVESTOR journal.
Click the picture
at the right to listen to the Goldradio.fm
New Year 2008 interview with Dan on the
continuing boom,
and the coming massive depression including its effect
on Social Security and Medicare. (OR to download and Save, right-click
then click "Save Target As...".)
Available ONLY from amazon.com - not available in
bookstores.
The Great Bust Ahead is based on a simple
commonsense recognition that the long-term trend of the economy
must always be determined by consumer spending. Why? Simply because we know consumer spending accounts for about
60% to 70% of the economy as expressed by the GDP (Gross Domestic Product), and more like 90% when indirect spending of our income as taxes by the government(s) is
included. When coupled with demographic analyses focused on who does the “big spending” within the population, the economic past, stretching back for about a century, is almost effortlessly accounted for with stunning accuracy. Also
revealed in stark Technicolor for anyone who wants to see, is the
unavoidable coming economic abyss that we are now headed for, and most of the world along with us. It’s nobody’s fault. It’s simply the inevitable result of our demographics. It cannot be fixed or wished away. The federal and state governments cannot solve it. It’s just as unstoppable as a tidal wave. We just have to accept the reality that it is coming, and plan for it as best we can.
Picture this:
Our great American economy is an ocean whose total depth is made up primarily of the combined spending of all the various age groups. The heaving waves on the surface of this deep ocean are
always the big-spending 45 to 54 year old group. These waves produce the peaks and troughs of the economy - the long-term booms and busts. They can and have both raised and sunk ships. We will soon have to man the lifeboats as the greatest demographic wave in American history crashes down with a thunderous roar! Like the great Titanic, there will not be enough time nor enough lifeboats on
board, and only very limited rescue available.
Book Description
The Great Bust Ahead is a concise, straight to the point book laying out in stark terms the case for a coming depression of historically unprecedented magnitude. It will be much worse than the 1930s, beginning perhaps as early as 2009-2010, and lasting up to thirteen years. Centered on hard fact demographics, the book boldly claims that the data presented are so irrefutable, that the outcome predicted by the book is equally as irrefutable. The compelling proof presented accurately accounts for the detailed trend of the economy from 1920 to today (something never before accomplished), and projects out to 2030 in detail. The book is very easy to read and understand, and requires no prior
knowledge of economics. Down to earth things the average person can do to prepare for what is coming are covered. Baby boomers are especially warned. A summary of the catastrophic domestic social and international consequences is offered.
2007 UPDATE
In late 2002 when this book was published, in addition to the massive thirteen year depression beginning towards the end of the decade, it forecast that:
The economy, as reflected by the DJIA, would resume its upwards march in late 2002 or 2003.
This is exactly what happened.
The DJIA would have a snapback to 13,000 to 14,000 and the FTSE to 6,000 to 7,000 by 2004, but delayed possibly by wars/politics/terrorism/scandals.
This is exactly what has happened. Although the full snapback has been delayed for the reasons described, the DJIA in 2007 reached over 14,100 and the FTSE over 6,700.
The inflation adjusted DJIA returns from 2003 to 2012 would average 7% to 8%. So far, with the delayed full snap-back, inflation adjusted DJIA returns have averaged a more modest
5.8%, as would be expected.
Interest rates would increase from 2003 onwards.
This is exactly what happened.
From the Publisher
If there ever was a book that should be read by the entire adult population, this is it. The events described in
The Great Bust Ahead will be the greatest story of the first quarter of the twenty-first century, if not the century. All of our lives are going to be dramatically affected beginning in just a few years from now. The depression of epic proportions that is predicted has THIRTY MILLION unemployed and stock market losses of over EIGHTEEN TRILLION dollars. The book leaves you with the conviction that for the first time you understand what the economy is all about. Everything presented in the book is so factual, so unchallengeable, it is hard to know what to say other than "go read it" and then start preparing as best you can.
About the Author
Dan Arnold was a manager and then consultant with General Electric for fifteen years. He started and ran a successful manufacturing company in Santa
Clara County California for ten years.
After being bought out by a larger company Dan focused on investment and understanding the economy's long term trends. This work lead directly to his shocking book
The Great Bust Ahead.
Excerpted from The Great Bust Ahead - The Greatest Depression
in American and UK History is Just Several Short Years Away
INTRODUCTION
The entire purpose of this book is to warn and help prepare the average person, family, business and institution for the greatest economic event of our lives that is now steadily closing in on us. It is a once in a lifetime event, so there is little national memory that such an event is possible. It is the economic one hundred year flood. We are now just several years away from the greatest depression in American history. It will be several times greater than the 1930s. No maybe or perhaps. It is as unavoidable as it is certain.
The catastrophic events forecast with such clarity and certainty in the pages that follow are derived almost entirely from data that is in publicly available government files ranging from the Bureau of Labor Statistics to the CIA and the INS. Anyone with the very extensive time required, the inclination and good computer database skills can establish for themselves the veracity of everything presented in this book. The ideas and data presented are simple to understand. No degree in economics is needed here. The underlying concepts that lead methodically and relentlessly to the shocking results are so compelling that they are, to all intents and purposes, unchallengeable. If this seems an
outrageous claim, you won’t think so by the end of this brief and to the point book.
You will be shown that the fundamental trend of the economy has almost nothing whatever to do with what you hear about all the time, such as interest rates, inflation, budget deficits, the dollar or who is in the White House or who controls Congress. Perhaps you have noticed the latter. A much, much more powerful, unstoppable force is the real trendsetter, and it is really so simple to understand. Every major economic event since 1920 will be easily and convincingly accounted for. It will seem so obvious once you’ve understood it, that what is forecast for the coming years will appear to be all but cast in stone . . . and in fact it is.
Available ONLY from amazon.com - not available
in bookstores.
Ideas, opinions and projections found on this website and in The Great Bust Ahead
are strictly those of author Dan Arnold. So as to allow for the circumstances of
individuals, which can vary greatly, they should not be acted upon without
consulting an advisor qualified to advise in financial matters.
